Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 33 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Erica McCall | 31 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Alexander | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 34 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Hartley | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Coleman | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 15 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter