Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 22 | - |
| C. Williams | 31 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 23 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 22 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Bentley | 22 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Tuck | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 35 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| J. Breland | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter