Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -6 (74-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 5-14 | 1-9 | 10-10 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Little | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Guelich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 37 | 12-25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| B. Hartley | 34 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. Zellous | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Nurse | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Allen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter