Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 36 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 8-8 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Briann January | 33 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 28 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Guelich | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 34 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Breland | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 15 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter