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2018-06-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 36 5-15 2-10 8-8 4 8 1 0 4 20 14 -
B. January 33 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 6 9 -
B. Griner 32 8-13 0-1 1-1 7 1 1 3 2 17 14 -
D. Bonner 28 6-12 2-6 6-8 7 6 2 0 2 20 21 -
S. Lyttle 21 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 3 0 2 7 6 -
C. Little 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 0 4 6 -
L. Mitchell 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Talbot 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
M. Guelich 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
A. Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Y. Turner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCoughtry 34 8-16 1-4 4-4 10 1 2 0 3 21 15 -
J. Breland 32 4-14 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 1 8 7 -
T. Hayes 30 4-13 0-3 4-6 5 2 3 1 2 12 8 -
R. Montgomery 26 4-9 4-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
E. Williams 25 2-8 0-0 3-6 4 1 0 3 2 7 5 -
B. Sykes 15 3-8 0-4 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
L. Clarendon 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Dantas 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
I. McGee-Stafford 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Lucas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter