Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 11-19 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 11-19 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| S. Talbot | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Turner | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Guelich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Fowles | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 35 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Moore | 34 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | - |
| S. Augustus | 30 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Wright | 22 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Robinson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 2 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter