Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.0% | 21.0% | -7.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -7 (98-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 33 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 32 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Bird | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 21 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| C. Paris | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Muldrow | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 37 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 28 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| T. Young | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Swords | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| JiSu Park | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter