Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| C. Little | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Y. Turner | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 36 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Gray | 35 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| A. Beard | 33 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Parker | 27 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Wiese | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter