Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 31 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| V. Vivians | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Dupree | 23 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| H. Ben Abdelkader | 22 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E. McCall | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Alexander | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Gwathmey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Thomas | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Bentley | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| R. Banham | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Tuck | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter