Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Thornton | 36 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 4-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| L. Cambage | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 20 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 17 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Chong | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Lewis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 33 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| R. Brunson | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Augustus | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| T. Wright | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| A. Jones | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter