Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +23 (101-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 25 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 24 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Breland | 23 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 21 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Monique Billings | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Lucas | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Blake Dietrick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 29 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Cambage | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Chong | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Lewis | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter