Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +36 (101-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 32 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Young | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 24 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Nared | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| JiSu Park | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| R. Louis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| C. Swords | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Bone | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 30 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 25 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Bentley | 23 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 18 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Tuck | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter