Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 37 | 6-19 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| L. Cambage | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| G. Johnson | 33 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| A. Gray | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Stevens | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Thornton | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lewis | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Chong | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| B. January | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Guelich | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Talbot | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter