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2018-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Porter 34 4-6 0-0 1-3 5 4 3 0 4 9 11 -
E. Chapman 32 5-12 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 0 2 14 5 -
K. Immel 32 6-20 0-7 1-3 2 1 0 0 2 13 -6 -
D. Bennett 28 1-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 6 3 -1 -
E. Conroe 27 3-7 1-5 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 7 10 -
V. Itugbu 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
A. Springfield 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
S. Bynum 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. White 30 4-9 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 1 2 9 9 -
A. Gamez 30 5-8 3-3 2-2 2 5 7 0 2 15 19 -
M. Utti 28 5-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 1 11 12 -
B. Knishka 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 -
K. Cavey 21 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 1 1 8 6 -
G. Ogier 18 0-4 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
J. Porter 16 2-3 2-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
K. Noyer 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 2 5 5 -
R. Johnson 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Nilsson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
S. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter