Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Isaac Johnson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Justin Forrest * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| O'Showen Williams | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Craig Hinton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Hunter Seacat | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jake Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jordon Varnado * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Alex Hicks * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Kevin Baker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| B.J. Miller * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Juan Davis | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Darian Adams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Malik Burnett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hopkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter