Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Lady Hornets +9 (63-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. El Hassan | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Daniels | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Muhammad | 26 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Darden | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Brewton | 24 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Bryson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Totten | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Taylor | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Richardson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Murdock | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Shavers | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Hatter | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Stephens | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Calhoun | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Walker | 24 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| S. Smith | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Lee | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Pye | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Hunt | 17 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| A. Gipson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Milner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Sapp | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter