Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -31 (52-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roy | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Smith | 32 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Maggard | 32 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| S. Jones | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| S. McCabe | 21 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| E. Harmeyer | 20 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Wright | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Yost | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| H. Harmeyer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taylor | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Ford | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| P. Martin | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Tennison | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Peevy | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Heckert | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Mahan | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Clayborn | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter