Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.9% | 8.1% | -13.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Robinson | 39 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| S. Holmes | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 26 | - |
| J. Sanders | 31 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| A. Rivers | 25 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| H. Winchester | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Gibson | 9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Newby | 40 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 18 | - |
| K. Henry | 37 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| K.K. Williams | 36 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| J. Murphy | 35 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| S. Miller-McCray | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| F. Minali | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter