Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | -7.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -17 (55-72). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaleigh Paplow * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Olivia Lucero * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Lauren Orndoff * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kenna McDavis * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Khiarica Rasheed * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tate Tsingine | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Peyton Carroll | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kaprice Boston | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chelena Betoney | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylee Doman * | 40 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kiana Johnson * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Ashley Larsen * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Breanu Reid * | 31 | 1-14 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | - |
| Whitney Johnson * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Megan Kamps | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chloe Bradford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mo Tapasa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter