Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +43 (98-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hopkins | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P. Tennison | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -2 | - |
| J. Ford | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Heckert | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Martin | 16 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wallace | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Taylor | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| L. Peevy | 12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| A. Clayborn | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ferreira | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Flores | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. Jespersen | 31 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 5-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| K. Laksa | 31 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| A. Prieto | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Henshaw | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Leverett | 19 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| V. Blagmon | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter