Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.7% | 5.3% | -15.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -36 (41-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Durr * | 30 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Jones * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Fuehring * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Dunham | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Shook | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Zambrotta | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Laemmle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Aiyeotan * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Huland El * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Tinsley * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Moses | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Jones | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Caldwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter