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2018-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 39 2-12 2-5 2-2 9 3 2 0 4 8 6 -
L. Odom * 37 6-10 0-0 2-4 6 4 2 0 1 14 15 -
H. Gorecki * 34 10-14 5-7 0-0 5 6 1 2 5 25 20 -
E. Mathias * 20 3-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 3 6 2 -
F. Suggs * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Williams 31 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 4 1 4 9 -
J. Adams 31 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
B. Faz Davalos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Carter * 40 1-7 0-3 2-2 3 5 1 0 3 4 3 -
A. Durr * 34 8-14 4-8 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 22 13 -
S. Fuehring * 30 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 12 13 -
M. Hines-Allen * 27 5-14 0-0 3-6 10 3 1 0 2 13 11 -
J. Jones * 18 2-2 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Evans 24 1-6 1-2 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 5 2 -
K. Shook 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 2 8 -
B. Dunham 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Zambrotta 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter