Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.0% | 28.0% | -5.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Odom * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Greenwell * | 37 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Boykin * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| L. Brown * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| E. Mathias * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| H. Gorecki | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Faz Davalos | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Adams | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| F. Suggs | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Louin * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| K. Jekot * | 37 | 8-14 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| A. Hahn * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Quinn * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Tucker * | 26 | 4-14 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| M. Gedaka | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| B. Herlihy | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bria. Herlihy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Stant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Onken | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter