Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.1% | 1.9% | -21.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 37 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| L. Brown | 36 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Mathias | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Boykin | 32 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Odom | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| B. Faz Davalos | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| H. Gorecki | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Adams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Suggs | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Treece | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Touchard | 40 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Gajewski | 40 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| V. Murphy | 36 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 | - |
| B. Mobley | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Lee | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Akula | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter