Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.5% | 3.5% | -18.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -37 (52-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Pope * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Kell * | 14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Rooks * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. McDaniels | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Narain | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Schakel | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Gill-Caesar | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Sohikish | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Strings * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| I. Mauriohooho-Le'afa * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Tolbert * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| K. Hicks * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Patton * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Wu | 29 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Martin | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Jacobs | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Fowler | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Perez | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Herrick | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wright | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter