Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +12 (71-59). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Mosby * | 38 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Devon Brewer * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Avery Patterson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dante Sterling * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Carter * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Yalen Reed | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Troymain Crosby | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Howard | 21 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| James Stokes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| TyQuaylon Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jackson * | 36 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Martaveous McKnight * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 9-14 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Travon Harper * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Trent Steen * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Posey * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Joe'Randle Toliver | 17 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Terrance Banyard | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Quamauri Hardy | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Robertson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J'Breun Sprinkle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| William Ridgell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Tillman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan McNair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter