Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +20 (82-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Mosby * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Dante Sterling * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Howard * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Devon Brewer * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Yalen Reed * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Troymain Crosby | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Carter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Gee * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Fausto Pichardo * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jacoby Ross * | 32 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Branden Johnson * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tobi Ewuosho * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ed Jones | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gene Davis | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Simeon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter