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2018-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Texas Southern Tigers Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 86.3% 13.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Margin 81.5% 18.5% -8.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.2% 14.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama State Hornets -15 (82-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Bruce * 40 8-19 3-9 6-9 6 2 0 1 1 25 14 -
Donte Clark * 35 8-16 3-4 11-11 5 1 1 1 3 30 19 -
Jerry Perry * 32 1-1 1-1 6-9 2 5 1 0 3 9 13 -
Marquis Salmon * 28 7-12 0-0 3-4 14 2 1 0 3 17 19 -
Lamont Walker * 25 1-3 0-0 7-9 6 0 1 0 0 9 13 -
Brian Carey 27 0-2 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kevin Granger 7 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Cainan McClelland 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacoby Ross * 37 6-15 2-6 3-4 2 2 2 0 1 17 7 -
Reginald Gee * 29 6-12 0-4 4-4 6 3 1 0 0 16 14 -
Tobi Ewuosho * 25 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 8 11 -
Branden Johnson * 13 4-6 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 3 3 10 8 -
Fausto Pichardo * 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Terrance LeFlore 19 3-9 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 2 -
Austin Rogers 19 5-7 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 11 9 -
Rodney Simeon 16 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
Gene Davis 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Fredens Deneus 10 2-5 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
Steve Rogers 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Marice Wright 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter