Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Gee * | 33 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ed Jones * | 23 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Gene Davis * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Branden Johnson * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Tobi Ewuosho * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Simeon | 24 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Fausto Pichardo | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jacoby Ross | 17 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Marice Wright | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivy Smith * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Axel Mpoyo * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Shirmane Thomas * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diontae Jones * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Perry-Murray * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devante Jackson | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Gaston | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Drake Wilks | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kareem Wright | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Wol | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter