Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs +10 (65-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Nahimy * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Jeffery Lewis * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Gemaal Davis * | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Emmanuel Ejeh * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Davere Creighton * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Lorenzo Hunt | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Kylan Phillips | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Arinze Anakwenze | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jordan Evans | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -11.5 |
| LaCurtis Allen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Henry Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Kaleb Allison | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.2 |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Johnson * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Andre Kennedy * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Julian Walters * | 30 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Evan Wiley * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +10.1 |
| Marcus Merriweather * | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -9.4 |
| Mohamed Sherif | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Ariston Johnson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +17.6 |
| Jalen Reeder | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -1.9 |
| De'Ederick Petty | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -4.8 |
* = starter