Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs -7 (62-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martaveous McKnight * | 40 | 10-18 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Charles Jackson * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Travon Harper * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Trent Steen * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Posey * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Quamauri Hardy | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joe'Randle Toliver | 20 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Terrance Banyard | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Artavious McDyess | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Christian Robertson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Tillman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Johnson * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Andre Kennedy * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Mohamed Sherif * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Julian Walters * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Merriweather * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Evan Wiley | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| De'Ederick Petty | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ariston Johnson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tracy Burnett | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Reeder | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter