Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | North Carolina Central Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles +1 (64-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Williams * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | -9.5 |
| Derrik Jamerson Jr. * | 35 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -7.8 |
| Alex Long * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -10.1 |
| Steven Whitley * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -10.8 |
| Preston Bungei * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -9.1 |
| Mastadi Pitt | 11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Dan Robinson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Nic Thomas | 10 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -1.0 |
| Bryan Gellineau | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raasean Davis * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 19 | +11.9 |
| Jordan Perkins * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | +8.7 |
| Reggie Gardner Jr. * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Goldsmith * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Marius McAllister * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Pablo Rivas | 27 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +7.9 |
| Larry McKnight Jr. | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Alston Jones | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +10.3 |
| Raekwon Harney | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Dominique Reid | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.0 |
* = starter