Model Predictions
| Model | Savannah State Tigers | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +1 (89-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Savannah State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter McClanahan * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Zacchaeus Sellers * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +9.3 |
| Javaris Jenkins * | 26 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Austin Dasent * | 8 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +7.1 |
| Maricus Glenn * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +4.5 |
| Alante Fenner | 24 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 5-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +11.3 |
| Jahir Cabeza | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Ralueke Orizu | 17 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +4.1 |
| Ty'lik Evans | 16 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -0.7 |
| Isaiah Felder | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Khalen Pinkett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
| John Grant Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martez Cameron * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -13.4 |
| Phillip Carr * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | -9.4 |
| Stanley Davis * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Tiwian Kendley * | 30 | 13-22 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 14 | -9.9 |
| Azariah Sykes * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -7.1 |
| David Syfax Jr. | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -7.8 |
| LaPri McCray-Pace | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Antonio Gillespie | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Elijah Staley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Alex Ennis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Khalil Gracey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
* = starter