Model Predictions
| Model | Florida A&M Rattlers | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +19 (87-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Barham * | 40 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Desmond Williams * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nick Severado * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Elijah Mayes * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Nasir Core * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brendon Myles | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Craig Bowman | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Justin Ravenel | 12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rashad Austin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiwian Kendley * | 35 | 10-24 | 4-13 | 11-13 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Phillip Carr * | 34 | 11-13 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Martez Cameron * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Stanley Davis * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Azariah Sykes * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| David Syfax Jr. | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Elijah Staley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| LaPri McCray-Pace | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Alex Ennis | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kyson Rawls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Gillespie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Streeter | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Khalil Gracey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter