Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -3 (60-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Caver * | 40 | 4-16 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -1 | -7.8 |
| B.J. Stith * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Trey Porter * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | -6.7 |
| Randy Haynes * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -9.7 |
| Brandan Stith * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Aaron Carver | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -8.3 |
| Xavier Green | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Michael Hueitt Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Stephen Vassor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Keith Pinckney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Woolridge * | 40 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Roosevelt Smart * | 33 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | +11.6 |
| A.J. Lawson * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Shane Temara * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Zachary Simmons * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -4.3 |
| Allante Holston | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11.6 |
| Jorden Duffy | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +9.8 |
| Tope Arikawe | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Khalil Fuller | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter