Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.2% | 2.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -4 (57-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick King * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Giddy Potts * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Tyrik Dixon * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Brandon Walters * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.3 |
| Edward Simpson * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| David Simmons | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Karl Gamble | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +13.1 |
| Antwain Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5.1 |
| James Hawthorne | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Donovan Sims | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Therren Shelton-Szmidt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Delph * | 36 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -4.9 |
| Justin Massey * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Payton Hulsey * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Jailyn Ingram * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | 0 | +6.5 |
| William Pfister * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Gerdarius Troutman | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Anthony Adger | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Devorious Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
| Simeon Lepichev | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
* = starter