Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +10 (93-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wallace * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Byron Frohnen * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -16.0 |
| Giovanni De Nicolao * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Nick Allen * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Austin Karrer * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.1 |
| Jhivvan Jackson | 30 | 11-24 | 4-14 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Deon Lyle | 28 | 7-13 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | -2.5 |
| George Willborn III | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Toby Van Ry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyree Griffin * | 39 | 3-16 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +7.5 |
| Kevin Holland * | 39 | 8-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | +5.0 |
| Cortez Edwards * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | -1.1 |
| Dominic Magee * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +19.3 |
| Tim Rowe * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Anfernee Hampton | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6.9 |
| D'Angelo Richardson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.7 |
* = starter