Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +9 (73-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Davis * | 36 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -12.8 |
| Andrien White * | 33 | 7-21 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Najee Garvin * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -5.8 |
| Austin Ajukwa * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Jailan Haslem * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Milos Supica | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Ryan Murphy | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylan McGill | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +5.8 |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Mency * | 37 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +10.1 |
| Ako Adams * | 31 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Robert Martin * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Malik Osborne * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | +3.2 |
| Connor Cashaw * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Tim Harrison | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Dylan Jones | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Miles Lester | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Najja Hunter | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Austin Meyer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
* = starter