Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Florida International Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida International Panthers -5 (66-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giddy Potts * | 43 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 17 | -16.6 |
| Nick King * | 42 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -14.1 |
| Tyrik Dixon * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Edward Simpson * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8.5 |
| Karl Gamble * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Brandon Walters | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -6.5 |
| David Simmons | 28 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -8.3 |
| Antwain Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Therren Shelton-Szmidt | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
| James Hawthorne | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.4 |
| Donovan Sims | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
Florida International Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Beard Jr. * | 43 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 6-12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | +18.5 |
| Eric Lockett * | 43 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +16.7 |
| Trejon Jacob * | 42 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +19.1 |
| Elhadji Dieng * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +9.1 |
| Hassan Hussein * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Michael Douglas | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Jay Harvey | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Ronald Whitaker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Cordell Veira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Osasumwen Osaghae | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter