Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -2 (76-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni De Nicolao * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Nick Allen * | 30 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Byron Frohnen * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +10.1 |
| Keaton Wallace * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +9.0 |
| Austin Karrer * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Jhivvan Jackson | 28 | 9-18 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Deon Lyle | 25 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +4.0 |
| George Willborn III | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Kendell Ramlal | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -12.2 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobi Boykins * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | +4.9 |
| Derric Jean * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | -9.1 |
| Anthony Duruji * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Joniah White * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -6.8 |
| Amorie Archibald * | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -3.4 |
| DaQuan Bracey | 27 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Exavian Christon | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jy'lan Washington | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Oliver Powell | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.1 |
| JaColby Pemberton | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.6 |
* = starter