Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +8 (65-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dikymbe Martin * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +1.4 |
| DJ Sylvester * | 35 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Alex Larsson * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Chance Murray * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7.0 |
| Brandon Rosser * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -17.7 |
| Eric Rwahwire | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +16.2 |
| Ajani Kennedy | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.3 |
| James Jackson | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Dominick Pickett | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Idy Diallo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jackson * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Leland King II * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | +2.9 |
| Max Heidegger * | 34 | 7-15 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Jalen Canty * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Ami Lakoju | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -7.7 |
| Christian Terrell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Alex Hart | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Brandon Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.2 |
| Maxwell Kupchak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
* = starter