Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | -10.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Goode * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Siler Schneider * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| TJ Shorts * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Michael Onyebalu * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Chima Moneke * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| A.J. John | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Joe Mooney | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Arell Hennings | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Colin Russell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Gomez * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Tavrion Dawson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Reggie Theus * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Micheal Warren * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Lyrik Shreiner * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Guevara | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalon Pipkins | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
* = starter