Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -19 (46-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Drammeh * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +7.1 |
| Michael Thomas * | 34 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 26 | +12.6 |
| Drew Buggs * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | +1.7 |
| Brocke Stepteau * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | +10.1 |
| Gibson Johnson * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +5.0 |
| Leland Green | 20 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Zigmars Raimo | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Jack Purchase | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Samuta Avea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Brandon Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Ido Flaisher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Zach Buscher | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavrion Dawson * | 35 | 5-20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | -9.0 |
| Terrell Gomez * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -1.0 |
| Micheal Warren * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Lyrik Shreiner * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Reggie Theus Jr. * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -10.3 |
| Jonathan Guevara | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Swan | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Zeno Lake | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Jalon Pipkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Carl Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter