Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ingram * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Luzcando * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| B. Mocsan * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Stutzman * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| N. Topalovic * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. Boyd | 25 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. Truman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Chivichyan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Dowd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Nakken | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. McCord | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavrion Dawson * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Micheal Warren * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Terrell Gomez * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Lyrik Shreiner * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Theus | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Swan | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Guevara | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Zeno Lake | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jalon Pipkins | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter