Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal Warren * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Gomez * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lyrik Shreiner * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Theus * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tavrion Dawson * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jonathan Guevara | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Zeno Lake | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jalon Pipkins | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Swan | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Carl Brown | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Wu * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Justin Strings * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Joshua Patton * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bryce Fowler * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Hicks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jiday Ugbaja | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Herrick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter