Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +19 (73-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Crowe * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Fields * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Iziah James | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Josh Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Trevor John | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Levin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | - |
| J. Roberts * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| T. Yussuf * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| D. Booker * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| E. Maxhuni * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Alberts | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Byers | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Q. Shropshire | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Griffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Richard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter