Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jakub Niziol * | 13 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Josh Martin | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Iziah James | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Trevor John | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Rowe * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Austen Awosika * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Arkim Robertson * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Smith * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Ramos * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Khalil Ahmad | 34 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Allman | 32 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Davon Clare | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dominik Heinzl | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter