Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | -6.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (78-64). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brocke Stepteau * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Drew Buggs * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Sheriff Drammeh * | 31 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Gibson Johnson * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Thomas * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jack Purchase | 26 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Leland Green | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zigmars Raimo | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Samuta Avea | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Joseph * | 30 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Donovan Fields * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jakub Niziol * | 27 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Josh Martin | 18 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Iziah James | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Trevor John | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter