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2018-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 72.2% 27.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 โœ— (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 71.6% 28.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 85.5% 14.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% - โœ—

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brocke Stepteau * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 5 13 -
Drew Buggs * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 10 16 -
Sheriff Drammeh * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 1 0 17 21 -
Gibson Johnson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 8 16 -
Mike Thomas * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 7 12 -
Jack Purchase 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 2 0 12 20 -
Leland Green 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Zigmars Raimo 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
Samuta Avea 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Joseph * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 1 2 12 22 -
Donovan Fields * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 15 20 -
Jakub Niziol * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 12 15 -
Hank Hollingsworth * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 7 11 -
Luke Meikle * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 12 16 -
Josh Martin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 3 9 15 -
Iziah James 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Aleks Abrams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 0 8 -
Mark Crowe 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 6 10 -
Trevor John 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter