Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 35 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Trevor John | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iziah James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eyassu Worku * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Evan Leonard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jonathan Galloway * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Tommy Rutherford * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| John Edgar * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Max Hazzard | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Elston Jones | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brad Greene | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darrian Traylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Riley Welch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter