Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +12 (57-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Crowe * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Josh Martin | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Iziah James | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Trevor John | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Drammeh * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Mike Thomas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 37 | - |
| Drew Buggs * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Brocke Stepteau * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Gibson Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Jack Purchase | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Leland Green | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zigmars Raimo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Ido Flaisher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Samuta Avea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter